NAIRU
Level of unemployment below which inflation would be expected to rise / From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU)[1] is a theoretical level of unemployment below which inflation would be expected to rise.[2] It was first introduced as NIRU (non-inflationary rate of unemployment) by Franco Modigliani and Lucas Papademos in 1975, as an improvement over the "natural rate of unemployment" concept,[3][4][5] which was proposed earlier by Milton Friedman.[6]
In the United States, estimates of NAIRU typically range between 5 and 6%.[2] Monetary policy conducted under the assumption of a NAIRU, typically involves allowing just enough unemployment in the economy to prevent inflation rising above a given target figure. Prices are allowed to increase gradually and some unemployment is tolerated.